Not so innocent colleague

I was getting restless and bored at work. So I decided to conduct a little mini informal survey.

I asked some guys (and this is not a small sample size...the qty is about 15 people) have they ever jacked off before while fantasizing about a colleague. These are the results:

- 70% said yes.
- 30% said no.
- 0% said they don't jack off.

Ok, so at least they are smart enough to know not to lie about not jacking off. Now, in general in society, half the people are liars. Hence assuming half the 30% said no actually lied, hence the actual % of those who do jack off to a colleague is about 85%.

OK, assuming you work in a place with 100 people. Assuming 50% are female, so 50 people will be male. 85% of 50 = 43 people. So, there are 50 females, and 43 males. Hence, assuming each male has at least 1 idol, there is a 86% chance that 1 of those 50 females secretly are part of some pervert's fantasies.

So, if you are female, it's time to look around you and do a quick mathematical calculation. If you are good looking, the chances increase exponentially. From my survey, I know which were the more popular idols whose nams kept popping up.

This is pretty cool. So many variants and streams of analysis! Fun! Numbers ratios percentages probabilities and exciting scenarios...ah, a great day at work indeed.